Identifying acute illness phenotypes via deep temporal interpolation and clustering network on physiologic signatures.

Using clustering analysis for early vital signs, unique patient phenotypes with distinct pathophysiological signatures and clinical outcomes may be revealed and support early clinical decision-making. Phenotyping using early vital signs has proven challenging, as vital signs are typically sampled sporadically. We proposed a novel, deep temporal interpolation and clustering network to simultaneously extract latent representations from irregularly sampled vital signs and derive phenotypes. Four distinct clusters were identified. Phenotype A (18%) had the greatest prevalence of comorbid disease with increased prevalence of prolonged respiratory insufficiency, acute kidney injury, sepsis, and long-term (3-year) mortality. Phenotypes B (33%) and C (31%) had a diffuse pattern of mild organ dysfunction. Phenotype B's favorable short-term clinical outcomes were tempered by the second highest rate of long-term mortality. Phenotype C had favorable clinical outcomes. Phenotype D (17%) exhibited early and persistent hypotension, high incidence of early surgery, and substantial biomarker incidence of inflammation. Despite early and severe illness, phenotype D had the second lowest long-term mortality. After comparing the sequential organ failure assessment scores, the clustering results did not simply provide a recapitulation of previous acuity assessments. This tool may impact triage decisions and have significant implications for clinical decision-support under time constraints and uncertainty.

Use of artificial intelligence in critical care: opportunities and obstacles.

BACKGROUND: Perhaps nowhere else in the healthcare system than in the intensive care unit environment are the challenges to create useful models with direct time-critical clinical applications more relevant and the obstacles to achieving those goals more massive. Machine learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to define states and predict future events are commonplace activities of modern life. However, their penetration into acute care medicine has been slow, stuttering and uneven. Major obstacles to widespread effective application of AI approaches to the real-time care of the critically ill patient exist and need to be addressed. MAIN BODY: Clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) in acute and critical care environments support clinicians, not replace them at the bedside. As will be discussed in this review, the reasons are many and include the immaturity of AI-based systems to have situational awareness, the fundamental bias in many large databases that do not reflect the target population of patient being treated making fairness an important issue to address and technical barriers to the timely access to valid data and its display in a fashion useful for clinical workflow. The inherent "black-box" nature of many predictive algorithms and CDSS makes trustworthiness and acceptance by the medical community difficult. Logistically, collating and curating in real-time multidimensional data streams of various sources needed to inform the algorithms and ultimately display relevant clinical decisions support format that adapt to individual patient responses and signatures represent the efferent limb of these systems and is often ignored during initial validation efforts. Similarly, legal and commercial barriers to the access to many existing clinical databases limit studies to address fairness and generalizability of predictive models and management tools. CONCLUSIONS: AI-based CDSS are evolving and are here to stay. It is our obligation to be good shepherds of their use and further development.

Gender differences in autonomy and performance assessments in a national cohort of vascular surgery trainees.

OBJECTIVE: Gender disparities in surgical training and assessment are described in the general surgery literature. Assessment disparities have not been explored in vascular surgery. We sought to investigate gender disparities in operative assessment in a national cohort of vascular surgery integrated residents (VIRs) and fellows (VSFs). METHODS: Operative performance and autonomy ratings from the Society for Improving Medical Professional Learning (SIMPL) application database were collected for all vascular surgery participating institutions from 2018 to 2023. Logistic generalized linear mixed models were conducted to examine the association of faculty and trainee gender on faculty and self-assessment of autonomy and performance. Data were adjusted for post-graduate year and case complexity. Random effects were included to account for clustering effects due to participant, program, and procedure. RESULTS: One hundred three trainees (n = 63 VIRs; n = 40 VSFs; 63.1% men) and 99 faculty (73.7% men) from 17 institutions (n = 12 VIR and n = 13 VSF programs) contributed 4951 total assessments (44.4% by faculty, 55.6% by trainees) across 235 unique procedures. Faculty and trainee gender were not associated with faculty ratings of performance (faculty gender: odds ratio [OR], 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.27-2.29; trainee gender: OR, 1.80; 95% CI, 0.76-0.43) or autonomy (faculty gender: OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.41-2.39; trainee gender: OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.62-2.45) of trainees. All trainees self-assessed at lower performance and autonomy ratings as compared with faculty assessments. However, women trainees rated themselves significantly lower than men for both autonomy (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.43-0.74) and performance (OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.30-0.54). CONCLUSIONS: Although gender was not associated with differences in faculty assessment of performance or autonomy among vascular surgery trainees, women trainees perceive themselves as performing with lower competency and less autonomy than their male colleagues. These findings suggest utility for exploring gender differences in real-time feedback delivered to and received by trainees and targeted interventions to align trainee self-perception with actual operative performance and autonomy to optimize surgical skill acquisition.

Spatially Aware Transformer Networks for Contextual Prediction of Diabetic Nephropathy Progression from Whole Slide Images.

Diabetic nephropathy (DN) in the context of type 2 diabetes is the leading cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the United States. DN is graded based on glomerular morphology and has a spatially heterogeneous presentation in kidney biopsies that complicates pathologists' predictions of disease progression. Artificial intelligence and deep learning methods for pathology have shown promise for quantitative pathological evaluation and clinical trajectory estimation; but, they often fail to capture large-scale spatial anatomy and relationships found in whole slide images (WSIs). In this study, we present a transformer-based, multi-stage ESRD prediction framework built upon nonlinear dimensionality reduction, relative Euclidean pixel distance embeddings between every pair of observable glomeruli, and a corresponding spatial self-attention mechanism for a robust contextual representation. We developed a deep transformer network for encoding WSI and predicting future ESRD using a dataset of 56 kidney biopsy WSIs from DN patients at Seoul National University Hospital. Using a leave-one-out cross-validation scheme, our modified transformer framework outperformed RNNs, XGBoost, and logistic regression baseline models, and resulted in an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.90-1.00) for predicting two-year ESRD, compared with an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.66-0.99) without our relative distance embedding, and an AUC of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.59-0.92) without a denoising autoencoder module. While the variability and generalizability induced by smaller sample sizes are challenging, our distance-based embedding approach and overfitting mitigation techniques yielded results that suggest opportunities for future spatially aware WSI research using limited pathology datasets.

Resident Operative Autonomy and Attending Verbal Feedback Differ by Resident and Attending Gender.

Objectives: This study tests the null hypotheses that overall sentiment and gendered words in verbal feedback and resident operative autonomy relative to performance are similar for female and male residents. Background: Female and male surgical residents may experience training differently, affecting the quality of learning and graduated autonomy. Methods: A longitudinal, observational study using a Society for Improving Medical Professional Learning collaborative dataset describing resident and attending evaluations of resident operative performance and autonomy and recordings of verbal feedback from attendings from surgical procedures performed at 54 US general surgery residency training programs from 2016 to 2021. Overall sentiment, adjectives, and gendered words in verbal feedback were quantified by natural language processing. Resident operative autonomy and performance, as evaluated by attendings, were reported on 5-point ordinal scales. Performance-adjusted autonomy was calculated as autonomy minus performance. Results: The final dataset included objective assessments and dictated feedback for 2683 surgical procedures. Sentiment scores were higher for female residents (95 [interquartile range (IQR), 4-100] vs 86 [IQR 2-100]; P < 0.001). Gendered words were present in a greater proportion of dictations for female residents (29% vs 25%; P = 0.04) due to male attendings disproportionately using male-associated words in feedback for female residents (28% vs 23%; P = 0.01). Overall, attendings reported that male residents received greater performance-adjusted autonomy compared with female residents (P < 0.001). Conclusions: Sentiment and gendered words in verbal feedback and performance-adjusted operative autonomy differed for female and male general surgery residents. These findings suggest a need to ensure that trainees are given appropriate and equitable operative autonomy and feedback.

Digital health and acute kidney injury: consensus report of the 27th Acute Disease Quality Initiative workgroup.

Acute kidney injury (AKI), which is a common complication of acute illnesses, affects the health of individuals in community, acute care and post-acute care settings. Although the recognition, prevention and management of AKI has advanced over the past decades, its incidence and related morbidity, mortality and health care burden remain overwhelming. The rapid growth of digital technologies has provided a new platform to improve patient care, and reports show demonstrable benefits in care processes and, in some instances, in patient outcomes. However, despite great progress, the potential benefits of using digital technology to manage AKI has not yet been fully explored or implemented in clinical practice. Digital health studies in AKI have shown variable evidence of benefits, and the digital divide means that access to digital technologies is not equitable. Upstream research and development costs, limited stakeholder participation and acceptance, and poor scalability of digital health solutions have hindered their widespread implementation and use. Here, we provide recommendations from the Acute Disease Quality Initiative consensus meeting, which involved experts in adult and paediatric nephrology, critical care, pharmacy and data science, at which the use of digital health for risk prediction, prevention, identification and management of AKI and its consequences was discussed.

A deep learning-based dynamic model for predicting acute kidney injury risk severity in postoperative patients.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury is a common postoperative complication affecting between 10% and 30% of surgical patients. Acute kidney injury is associated with increased resource usage and chronic kidney disease development, with more severe acute kidney injury suggesting more aggressive deterioration in clinical outcomes and mortality. METHODS: We considered 42,906 surgical patients admitted to University of Florida Health (n = 51,806) between 2014 and 2021. Acute kidney injury stages were determined using the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes serum creatinine criteria. We developed a recurrent neural network-based model to continuously predict acute kidney injury risk and state in the following 24 hours and compared it with logistic regression, random forest, and multi-layer perceptron models. We used medications, laboratory and vital measurements, and derived features from past one-year records as inputs. We analyzed the proposed model with integrated gradients for enhanced explainability. RESULTS: Postoperative acute kidney injury at any stage developed in 20% (10,664) of the cohort. The recurrent neural network model was more accurate in predicting nearly all categories of next-day acute kidney injury stages (including the no acute kidney injury group). The area under the receiver operating curve and 95% confidence intervals for recurrent neural network and logistic regression models were for no acute kidney injury (0.98 [0.98-0.98] vs 0.93 [0.93-0.93]), stage 1 (0.95 [0.95-0.95] vs. 0.81 [0.80-0.82]), stage 2/3 (0.99 [0.99-0.99] vs 0.96 [0.96-0.97]), and stage 3 with renal replacement therapy (1.0 [1.0-1.0] vs 1.0 [1.0-1.0]. CONCLUSION: The proposed model demonstrates that temporal processing of patient information can lead to more granular and dynamic modeling of acute kidney injury status and result in more continuous and accurate acute kidney injury prediction. We showcase the integrated gradients framework's utility as a mechanism for enhancing model explainability, potentially facilitating clinical trust for future implementation.

Utilization of the percutaneous left ventricular support as bridge to heart transplantation across the United States: In-depth UNOS database analysis.

BACKGROUND: Intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) and Impella device utilization as a bridge to heart transplantation (HTx) have risen exponentially. We aimed to explore the influence of device selection on HTx outcomes, considering regional practice variation. METHODS: A retrospective longitudinal study was performed on a United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) registry dataset. We included adult patients listed for HTx between October 2018 and April 2022 as status 2, as justified by requiring IABP or Impella support. The primary end-point was successful bridging to HTx as status 2. RESULTS: Of 32,806 HTx during the study period, 4178 met inclusion criteria (Impella n = 650, IABP n = 3528). Waitlist mortality increased from a nadir of 16 (in 2019) to a peak of 36 (in 2022) per thousand status 2 listed patients. Impella annual use increased from 8% in 2019 to 19% in 2021. Compared to IABP, Impella patients demonstrated higher medical acuity and lower success rate of transplantation as status 2 (92.1% vs 88.9%, p < 0.001). The IABP:Impella utilization ratio varied widely between regions, ranging from 1.77 to 21.31, with high Impella use in Southern and Western states. However, this difference was not justified by medical acuity, regional transplant volume, or waitlist time and did not correlate with waitlist mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The shift in utilizing Impella as opposed to IABP did not improve waitlist outcomes. Our results suggest that clinical practice patterns beyond mere device selection determine successful bridging to HTx. There is a critical need for objective evidence to guide tMCS utilization and a paradigm shift in the UNOS allocation system to achieve equitable HTx practice across the United States.

Spatially Aware Transformer Networks for Contextual Prediction of Diabetic Nephropathy Progression from Whole Slide Images.

Diabetic nephropathy (DN) in the context of type 2 diabetes is the leading cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the United States. DN is graded based on glomerular morphology and has a spatially heterogeneous presentation in kidney biopsies that complicates pathologists' predictions of disease progression. Artificial intelligence and deep learning methods for pathology have shown promise for quantitative pathological evaluation and clinical trajectory estimation; but, they often fail to capture large-scale spatial anatomy and relationships found in whole slide images (WSIs). In this study, we present a transformer-based, multi-stage ESRD prediction framework built upon nonlinear dimensionality reduction, relative Euclidean pixel distance embeddings between every pair of observable glomeruli, and a corresponding spatial self-attention mechanism for a robust contextual representation. We developed a deep transformer network for encoding WSI and predicting future ESRD using a dataset of 56 kidney biopsy WSIs from DN patients at Seoul National University Hospital. Using a leave-one-out cross-validation scheme, our modified transformer framework outperformed RNNs, XGBoost, and logistic regression baseline models, and resulted in an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.90-1.00) for predicting two-year ESRD, compared with an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.66-0.99) without our relative distance embedding, and an AUC of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.59-0.92) without a denoising autoencoder module. While the variability and generalizability induced by smaller sample sizes are challenging, our distance-based embedding approach and overfitting mitigation techniques yielded results that sugest opportunities for future spatially aware WSI research using limited pathology datasets.

Artificial intelligence guidance of advanced heart failure therapies: A systematic scoping review.

Introduction: Artificial intelligence can recognize complex patterns in large datasets. It is a promising technology to advance heart failure practice, as many decisions rely on expert opinions in the absence of high-quality data-driven evidence. Methods: We searched Embase, Web of Science, and PubMed databases for articles containing "artificial intelligence," "machine learning," or "deep learning" and any of the phrases "heart transplantation," "ventricular assist device," or "cardiogenic shock" from inception until August 2022. We only included original research addressing post heart transplantation (HTx) or mechanical circulatory support (MCS) clinical care. Review and data extraction were performed in accordance with PRISMA-Scr guidelines. Results: Of 584 unique publications detected, 31 met the inclusion criteria. The majority focused on outcome prediction post HTx (n = 13) and post durable MCS (n = 7), as well as post HTx and MCS management (n = 7, n = 3, respectively). One study addressed temporary mechanical circulatory support. Most studies advocated for rapid integration of AI into clinical practice, acknowledging potential improvements in management guidance and reliability of outcomes prediction. There was a notable paucity of external data validation and integration of multiple data modalities. Conclusion: Our review showed mounting innovation in AI application in management of MCS and HTx, with the largest evidence showing improved mortality outcome prediction.

Computable Phenotypes to Characterize Changing Patient Brain Dysfunction in the Intensive Care Unit.

In the United States, more than 5 million patients are admitted annually to ICUs, with ICU mortality of 10%-29% and costs over $82 billion. Acute brain dysfunction status, delirium, is often underdiagnosed or undervalued. This study's objective was to develop automated computable phenotypes for acute brain dysfunction states and describe transitions among brain dysfunction states to illustrate the clinical trajectories of ICU patients. We created two single-center, longitudinal EHR datasets for 48,817 adult patients admitted to an ICU at UFH Gainesville (GNV) and Jacksonville (JAX). We developed algorithms to quantify acute brain dysfunction status including coma, delirium, normal, or death at 12-hour intervals of each ICU admission and to identify acute brain dysfunction phenotypes using continuous acute brain dysfunction status and k-means clustering approach. There were 49,770 admissions for 37,835 patients in UFH GNV dataset and 18,472 admissions for 10,982 patients in UFH JAX dataset. In total, 18% of patients had coma as the worst brain dysfunction status; every 12 hours, around 4%-7% would transit to delirium, 22%-25% would recover, 3%-4% would expire, and 67%-68% would remain in a coma in the ICU. Additionally, 7% of patients had delirium as the worst brain dysfunction status; around 6%-7% would transit to coma, 40%-42% would be no delirium, 1% would expire, and 51%-52% would remain delirium in the ICU. There were three phenotypes: persistent coma/delirium, persistently normal, and transition from coma/delirium to normal almost exclusively in first 48 hours after ICU admission. We developed phenotyping scoring algorithms that determined acute brain dysfunction status every 12 hours while admitted to the ICU. This approach may be useful in developing prognostic and decision-support tools to aid patients and clinicians in decision-making on resource use and escalation of care.

Surgical resident experience with common bile duct exploration and assessment of performance and autonomy with formative feedback.

BACKGROUND: Common bile duct exploration (CBDE) is safe and effective for managing choledocholithiasis, but most US general surgeons have limited experience with CBDE and are uncomfortable performing this procedure in practice. Surgical trainee exposure to CBDE is limited, and their learning curve for achieving autonomous, practice-ready performance has not been previously described. This study tests the hypothesis that receipt of one or more prior CBDE operative performance assessments, combined with formative feedback, is associated with greater resident operative performance and autonomy. METHODS: Resident and attending assessments of resident operative performance and autonomy were obtained for 189 laparoscopic or open CBDEs performed at 28 institutions. Performance and autonomy were graded along validated ordinal scales. Cases in which the resident had one or more prior CBDE case evaluations (n = 48) were compared with cases in which the resident had no prior evaluations (n = 141). RESULTS: Compared with cases in which the resident had no prior CBDE case evaluations, cases with a prior evaluation had greater proportions of practice-ready or exceptional performance ratings according to both residents (27% vs. 11%, p = .009) and attendings (58% vs. 19%, p < .001) and had greater proportions of passive help or supervision only autonomy ratings according to both residents (17% vs. 4%, p = .009) and attendings (69% vs. 32%, p < .01). CONCLUSIONS: Residents with at least one prior CBDE evaluation and formative feedback demonstrated better operative performance and received greater autonomy than residents without prior evaluations, underscoring the propensity of feedback to help residents achieve autonomous, practice-ready performance for rare operations.

Overtriage, Undertriage, and Value of Care after Major Surgery: An Automated, Explainable Deep Learning-Enabled Classification System.

BACKGROUND: In single-institution studies, overtriaging low-risk postoperative patients to ICUs has been associated with a low value of care; undertriaging high-risk postoperative patients to general wards has been associated with increased mortality and morbidity. This study tested the reproducibility of an automated postoperative triage classification system to generating an actionable, explainable decision support system. STUDY DESIGN: This longitudinal cohort study included adults undergoing inpatient surgery at two university hospitals. Triage classifications were generated by an explainable deep learning model using preoperative and intraoperative electronic health record features. Nearest neighbor algorithms identified risk-matched controls. Primary outcomes were mortality, morbidity, and value of care (inverted risk-adjusted mortality/total direct costs). RESULTS: Among 4,669 ICU admissions, 237 (5.1%) were overtriaged. Compared with 1,021 control ward admissions, overtriaged admissions had similar outcomes but higher costs ($15.9K [interquartile range $9.8K to $22.3K] vs $10.7K [$7.0K to $17.6K], p < 0.001) and lower value of care (0.2 [0.1 to 0.3] vs 1.5 [0.9 to 2.2], p < 0.001). Among 8,594 ward admissions, 1,029 (12.0%) were undertriaged. Compared with 2,498 control ICU admissions, undertriaged admissions had longer hospital length-of-stays (6.4 [3.4 to 12.4] vs 5.4 [2.6 to 10.4] days, p < 0.001); greater incidence of hospital mortality (1.7% vs 0.7%, p = 0.03), cardiac arrest (1.4% vs 0.5%, p = 0.04), and persistent acute kidney injury without renal recovery (5.2% vs 2.8%, p = 0.002); similar costs ($21.8K [$13.3K to $34.9K] vs $21.9K [$13.1K to $36.3K]); and lower value of care (0.8 [0.5 to 1.3] vs 1.2 [0.7 to 2.0], p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Overtriage was associated with low value of care; undertriage was associated with both low value of care and increased mortality and morbidity. The proposed framework for generating automated postoperative triage classifications is reproducible.

Dynamic predictions of postoperative complications from explainable, uncertainty-aware, and multi-task deep neural networks.

Accurate prediction of postoperative complications can inform shared decisions regarding prognosis, preoperative risk-reduction, and postoperative resource use. We hypothesized that multi-task deep learning models would outperform conventional machine learning models in predicting postoperative complications, and that integrating high-resolution intraoperative physiological time series would result in more granular and personalized health representations that would improve prognostication compared to preoperative predictions. In a longitudinal cohort study of 56,242 patients undergoing 67,481 inpatient surgical procedures at a university medical center, we compared deep learning models with random forests and XGBoost for predicting nine common postoperative complications using preoperative, intraoperative, and perioperative patient data. Our study indicated several significant results across experimental settings that suggest the utility of deep learning for capturing more precise representations of patient health for augmented surgical decision support. Multi-task learning improved efficiency by reducing computational resources without compromising predictive performance. Integrated gradients interpretability mechanisms identified potentially modifiable risk factors for each complication. Monte Carlo dropout methods provided a quantitative measure of prediction uncertainty that has the potential to enhance clinical trust. Multi-task learning, interpretability mechanisms, and uncertainty metrics demonstrated potential to facilitate effective clinical implementation.

Building an automated, machine learning-enabled platform for predicting post-operative complications.

Objective. In 2019, the University of Florida College of Medicine launched theMySurgeryRiskalgorithm to predict eight major post-operative complications using automatically extracted data from the electronic health record.Approach. This project was developed in parallel with our Intelligent Critical Care Center and represents a culmination of efforts to build an efficient and accurate model for data processing and predictive analytics.Main Results and Significance. This paper discusses how our model was constructed and improved upon. We highlight the consolidation of the database, processing of fixed and time-series physiologic measurements, development and training of predictive models, and expansion of those models into different aspects of patient assessment and treatment. We end by discussing future directions of the model.

A simulation curriculum for laparoscopic common bile duct exploration, balloon sphincterotomy, and endobiliary stenting: Associations with resident performance and autonomy in the operating room.

BACKGROUND: Laparoscopic common bile duct exploration is safe and effective for managing choledocholithiasis, but laparoscopic common bile duct exploration is rarely performed, which threatens surgical trainee proficiency. This study tests the hypothesis that prior operative or simulation experience with laparoscopic common bile duct exploration is associated with greater resident operative performance and autonomy without adversely affecting patient outcomes. METHODS: This longitudinal cohort study included 33 consecutive patients undergoing laparoscopic common bile duct exploration in cases involving postgraduate years 3, 4, and 5 general surgery residents at a single institution during the implementation of a laparoscopic common bile duct exploration simulation curriculum. For each of the 33 cases, resident performance and autonomy were rated by residents and attendings, the resident's prior operative and simulation experience were recorded, and patient outcomes were ascertained from electronic health records for comparison among 3 cohorts: prior operative experience, prior simulation experience, and no prior experience. RESULTS: Operative approach was similar among cohorts. Overall morbidity was 6.1% and similar across cohorts. The operative performance scores were higher in prior experience cohorts according to both residents (3.0 [2.8-3.0] vs 2.0 [2.0-3.0]; P = .01) and attendings (3.0 [3.0-4.0]; P < .001). The autonomy scores were higher in prior experience cohorts according to both residents (2.0 [2.0-3.0] vs 2.0 [2.0-2.0]; P = .005) and attendings (2.5 [2.0-3.0] vs 2.0 [1.0-2.0]; P = .001). Prior simulation and prior operative experience had similar associations with performance and autonomy. CONCLUSION: Simulation experience with laparoscopic common bile duct exploration was associated with greater resident operative performance and autonomy, with effects that mimic prior operative experience. This illustrates the potential for simulation-based training to improve resident operative performance and autonomy for laparoscopic common bile duct exploration.